Een curve die de effectieve rente percentages weergeeft van obligaties met verschillende looptijden. De helling van de curve geeft de snelheid aan waarmede het percentage stijgt of daalt naarmate de looptijd langer is. Teresa Fernandez is van mening dat de relatie tussen de 10-jaars Treasury en de 3-maands Treasury een goede indicatie geeft van de stand van de markt. Een stijging van de verhouding wijst op een stijgende aandelenmarkt en omgekeerd. Als de Ratio op 3,5 of hoger ligt betekent dit dat men long in de S&P500 moet gaan en wanneer de ratio negatief is moet men een shortpositie innemen in de S&P500.

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What does the bond investor do with rising interest rates? – Part 4 Currency management

(publication date: 10 May 2017, original published on 7 April 2017) The Dutch text version of this article can be found on: https://www.iex.nl/Column/262952/Wat-te-doen-bij-stijgende-rente-IV.aspx Introduction In our search for an answer to the question in the title, we concluded in Part Three that the Carmignac Global Bond Fund showed a rising net asset value during the […]

What does the bond investor do with rising interest rates? – Part 3

(publication date: 17 March 2017) The Dutch text version of this article can be found on: www.iex.nl Introduction Before you is part three of a series of articles in which we discuss how you as an investor can deal with an environment where long-term rates rise structurally. In Part 2, we discussed two funds in […]

What does the bond investor do with rising interest rates? – Part 2

(publication date: 10 March 2017) The Dutch text version of this article can be found on: https://www.iex.nl/Column/262110/Wat-te-doen-bij-stijgende-rente-II.aspx Introduction Last week we started a series of articles in which the central question is, what investors should do in an environment where interest rates rise structurally? In part 1 we discussed the current yield structure, the relationship […]

What does the bond investor do with rising interest rates? – Part 1

In 2015 we wrote a series of articles in which we wondered what the bond investor should do in an environment where interest rates do not structurally fall, but instead rise over a long period of time. Like many, we were on the early side, but now this question has become extremely relevant.